For Immediate Release
February 17, 1998 |
Ellen Morrissey or Donald Lehr
Nolan/Lehr Group
212/967-8200 |
WORKPLACE OF THE
FUTURE:
SAFER, SMALLER, AND FULLY AT THE MERCY OF COMPUTERS
Engineers survey predicts
less paper, less people, and maybe a virtual view of Mt. Fuji
NEW YORK, February 17, 1998 -- Robots,
buildings made from recycled materials, more daylight, and "windows" that will
let workers see live views of famous locations around the world -- these are just a few
forecasts about the workplace of the future from a
nationwide survey of engineers released today by the National Engineers Week Committee.
The survey asked more than 100
electrical, chemical, mechanical, civil, and heating, refrigeration and air conditioning
engineers to describe how -- using currently available technology -- the workplace of the
future will be more environmentally friendly. The committee, a consortium of engineering
associations and major U.S. industries which seeks to increase public awareness about the
role of engineering, annually conducts a future survey as part of National Engineers Week,
February 22-28.
Overwhelmingly, engineers cited
computer technology as the dominant influence on almost every aspect of the future
workplace. From increased use of robotics in manufacturing, to electronic in/out boxes, to
flat, window-sized monitors that can switch from a live view of Mt. Fuji to a close-up
shot of Times Square at the click of a mouse, computers will dominate almost all facets of
the future workplace.
But, don't pack that lunchpail too
quickly. The workplace feature most commonly named by the engineers is teleconferencing,
meaning smaller offices, reduced staffs, and a major increase in employees working at
home. The resultant decrease in commuting and business travel will translate to an immense
reduction in the use of fossil fuels, the survey predicts.
One engineer described in detail how
work-at-home programs will bring an environmental payoff. "Let's say I spend half my
time at home," one engineer wrote, "saving 50 miles of travel a day, times 2.5
days, times 48 weeks out of the year. That's 6,000 miles less travel, 333 less gallons of
gas, and the associated emissions."
Engineers in the survey point out,
however, that while teleconferencing will mean fewer in-person contacts, it will not mean
fewer face-to-face meetings. "A worker in Orlando could serve as a team member of a
work team headquartered in Chicago," one survey participant wrote. "Meetings
could be held, drawings reviewed and 'almost face to face' conversations conducted at
extremely low prices since Internet information will be so inexpensive."
(It's interesting to note that while
the engineers predict that monitors and live remote pictures will be everywhere, few
survey respondents mentioned the other side of the equation, that is, omnipresent cameras
in the home, at the workplace, in transportation systems and in most other public areas.)
Perhaps not surprisingly, the survey
predicts that the long promised, but as yet unrealized "paperless office" is on
the way but, the engineers insist, it will be sooner than previous progress indicates.
Datebooks, calendars, letters, memos and almost anything else that now comes on paper will
be delivered electronically. And, despite the environmental benefit, it will be economics
that spurs the transition. Said one engineer, "It's considerably cheaper, in all
terms, to transport bits."
In another workplace shift, industries
will continue the growing trend to relocate facilities that transform raw materials into
intermediate products closer to the source of the materials, bringing greater fuel
efficiency through reduced transportation costs -- much as the bulk petrochemical industry
has moved to the Middle East during the past five years. Meanwhile, management operating
functions, the engineers predict, will be performed remotely through electronic
communications.
Another way that energy efficiency will
be key to a more environmentally-friendly workplace, the survey indicates, is with more
localized generation of power, more co-generation to reuse energy that's now wasted
through burnoffs or in cooling towers, and increased insulation during construction.
"The office of the future will be energy efficient and computer controlled to a
degree only currently enjoyed by Bill Gates," said one respondent, "and it will
take full advantage of every BTU we pay for."
Engineers often mentioned the GPS, the
satellite-based Global Positioning System, as another current technology that is on the
cusp of an immense expansion of use. Some noted that products will be tracked from
shipment to delivery without a single human interface. Additionally, every company vehicle
will also be tracked, as will each worker, whether at a job site or en route to the
parking lot.
Besides being more friendly to the
earth's environment, the workplace itself will be a more environmentally-friendly
environment. Paints will be made from less toxic chemicals. Clean-air vehicles will mean
cleaner air for those working in warehouses that operate such equipment as forklifts that
are currently powered by petrochemicals. Monitors will alert workers to any hazards in the
air. Carpets and furniture will be constructed from allergen-free materials. Window
treatments will ensure that a maximum amount of daylight comes through, but without
harmful ultraviolet rays. Buildings will be increasingly constructed from recycled
materials, the survey reveals, and will be smaller.
There'll also be a heightened sense of
comfort and safety. New furniture designs will introduce ergonomically-designed chairs and
keyboards that reduce carpal tunnel syndrome. And, in general, machines will continue to
take on the burden of physical labor -- "more fingertip control and less brute
force" was how a survey participant described it -- as robotics transform warehouses
and factories, freeing workers from hazardous job duties. Similarly, computers and
monitors will increasingly depend on voice activation, requiring less hand-manipulated
input.
Other predictions from the engineers
include:
- Elimination of traditional file cabinets
as records are converted from paper to computers. Similarly, there will be a transition to
computer databases that reduce or eliminate the size of business libraries;
- More prefab components used in building,
reducing on-site construction delays;
- Increased use of recycled materials in
building materials;
- Increased recycling of solid wastes;
- Conversion from ozone-damaging cleaning
solvents, refrigerants, and paints to ozone-friendly materials;
- Reduced use of fossil fuels in heating,
generation of electricity and transportation;
- Lights and temperature controls that
automatically adjust depending on who is in a room and when;
- Increased use of natural light, lowering
energy costs;
- "Super lamps" that use energy
more efficiently and provide increased and more natural light;
- and Self-sufficient office and
manufacturing buildings that, besides generating their own electricity, recycle much of
their own waste water.
In short: Engineers have seen the
future, and it works.
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